Apple’s ‘California Streaming’ E4vent Predictions

With each Apple event, I make some predictions of what I think will be shown at the event. The ‘California Streaming’ event is no exception. Normally I provide a percentage likelihood of a prediction coming true. I am not going to do that this time. It will just be the prediction itself. On that note, here is what I think we will see announced at the event.

Four New iPhones

I think that we will see the next set of iPhones be announced, specifically four new iPhones. These will be the iPhone 13 mini, iPhone 13, iPhone 13 Pro, and iPhone 13 Pro Max, just like last year’s iPhone.

I think the iPhone 13 Pro and Pro Max will have a higher refresh-rate. The iPad Pro models have ProMotion, and I am thinking that the Pro iPhones will get it this year.

No Macs

Apple announced the transition to Apple Silicon at their World Wide Developer Conference in 2020. In November of 2020 the first set of devices were announced, the 13-inch MacBook Air, the two-port 13-inch MacBook Pro, and the Mac mini. In April of this year Apple announced the 24-inch iMac with Apple Silicon.

Even though it would be a good time to release new Macs, I do not think we will see any announced at this event.

Refreshed iPads

I think we will see two new iPads, the standard 10.2-inch iPad, and the iPad mini. There are indications that the 10.2-inch iPad is running low on inventory, which could indicate that there is a new version imminently.

The iPad mini has not been revised in nearly 2 1/2 years. It is likely time that we will see a new iPad mini, possibly with a design that mimics the iPad Pro line, with squared off edges, Face ID, and even possibly USB-C. Checking the Apple Store, there does not seem to be any issues with inventory on this model, but it probably sells fewer units than other models.

Apple Watch

I think we will see the Series 7 Apple Watch. I suspect it will be a slight improvement over the Series 6, with two slightly larger sizes, 41mm and 45mm. This would be a 1mm increase over the previous models. Outside of this, I do not think there will be any new sensors, just a faster processor and a new design.

Prediction Recap

I think the ‘California Streaming’ event will be a bit more subdued. While there will be new hardware, I think it will fall more onto a smaller set of upgrades. Here is a recap of what I predicted.

Prediction
Four new iPhones, same models as last year.
Higher Refresh Rate on ‘Pro’ models
No New Macs
Refreshed 10.2-inch iPad
Refreshed iPad mini
New Apple Watch with new design
New Apple Watch with new case sizes

As is the case with other events, I will have a full recap post on what Apple announces after the event.

Apple “Spring Loaded” Event Predictions

Apple announced its “Spring Loaded” last week, and as is the case with each of Apple’s events, I have a set of predictions. For this event, I only have a few predictions.

Air Tags

Throughout many of the betas of various versions of iOS, there have been indications of a product called “Air Tags”. The indications show that Air Tags are beacons that can be attached to various items so that should they be lost, and someone comes across it, their iPhone can provide the last location.

I give this a 50% chance of occurring. If Apple does not announce it with this event, I suspect that they will never announce them.

Apple TV

The Apple TV box is in desperate need of an update. The last release was in September of 2017, which was 3 1/2 years ago. In that time, there have been no revisions to the product. I suspect that Apple will release a new Apple TV. The rumors indicate that this would support 120Hz televisions.

I give the possibility of this happening at 75%.

iPad Pros

The last significant update to the iPad Pros was in 2018. While there was an update to the iPad Pro in 2020, it was a minor update to the A12Z, which supported LiDAR in the camera. Outside of these two changes, there were no other changes.

I think Apple will release a new set of iPad Pros, a replacement 11-inch as well as a replacement 12.9-inch model. I think one of them, the 12.9-inch model specifically, will have a different type of display, possibly a mini-led.

Apple Watch Bands

Each season Apple likes to release new Watch Bands. I think these will be briefly discussed, or possibly just shown off in just a few minutes of the presentation. I give this a 90% chance of occurring.

New Macs

Last November Apple unveiled new Mac running Apple Silicon. At the time there were three devices released, the MacBook Air, the lower-end 13-inch MacBook Pro, and the Mac mini. Approximately six months after the release of those devices is a good time to release the next device.

I think there will be another Mac with an M1 released, the 21.5-inch iMac. I suspect this because the 21.5-inch model would likely run the M1, same as the current devices running the M1. I give this a 50% chance of occurring.

There is the rumor that Apple will provide some new colors to the iMacs. While I think this would be a nice change from having the standard gray and space gray, I am not sure Apple would do this, even though it would be very reminiscent of the iMac G3. I give this a 10% chance of actually being announced.

Predictions Recap

Here is a re-cap of my predictions. There are not that many for this event.

Prediction % Chance
New Watch Bands 90%
New iPad Pros 90%
New Apple TV Box 75%
12.9-inch iPad Pro New Screen Type 60%
New 21.5-inch iMac 50%
AirTags Announced 50%
New iMacs in colors 10%

The event begins at 10 am Pacific Time on Tuesday, April 20th. I will post a recap of what was announced after the event.

Apple’s “One more thing” Event Predictions

On Tuesday, November 10th, Apple is holding their “One more thing” event. This event will be streamed, just as was the case with the previous two events, “Hi, Speed” and “Time Flies” events. Each of the previous events have focused on a small number of things. I think the same will happen in this event.

I think there will be two items covered in this event, Macs, and macOS Big Sur. Here is what I think we will see.

Macs

The first thing I think we will see is the first Macs that are running Apple Silicon. Apple has stated that they will be releasing Macs running Apple Silicon before the end of the year. We are quickly approaching the end of the year and it is not likely that Apple will have a December event, but stranger things have happened.

The big question is which Macs will be the first Macs with Apple Silicon. I think we will see a laptop and a desktop. The question is which ones. I think we will see a MacBook Air, and MacBook Pro. The new MacBook Air will replace the existing ones. I do not think the existing models will continue to be available, at least not directly from Apple.

I also think we will see a bunch of comparisons between the “current” Macs and the new Apple Silicon ones. In particular, I think this will be with professional apps to show that these the new Apple Silicon Macs are no slouches when it comes to performance. Furthermore, I also think we will see some iOS apps running on these machines and how all of iOS apps as well as native macOS apps work seamlessly together.

The MacBook Air is the one that makes the most sense, as it is the entry level model and it is the one that most users would be happy to use. Along with this, I think we will be informed of when we will be able to order these, which I think may be later in November and they will begin shipping in early December.

Big Sur

Apple Silicon Macs will require macOS 11 Big Sur. I think we will see an Apple Silicon-specific feature that has not been revealed yet. There are no rumors of this, but it is just a hunch I have. I do think we will get a release date for macOS Big Sur, and I think it will be the following day, November 11th. I think this for few reasons.

The first, is provides a big of a buffer between the release of the iPhone 12 mini and iPhone 12 Pro Max. A lot of people will upgrade soon after its release. The second reason for this is the date. macOS Big Sur is version 11.0. It would be symbolic for Apple to release version 11 of macOS on 11/11/2020. The third reason that I think this is that iOS 14 was released the day after the announcement, therefore it might stand to reason that macOS Big Sur will follow the same pattern.

Predictions Recap

Here are my actual predictions for what I think we will see.

  • New Macs running Apple Silicon – 100%
  • macOS Big Sur release date – 100%
  • Craig Federighi showing off macOS Big Sur – 95%
  • Demos of iOS apps and macOS apps working together – 95%
  • New MacBook Air with Apple Silicon – 90%
  • macOS Big Sur released on 11/11 – 75%

Closing Thoughts

I don’t think that we will see any other products with this announcement. I think Macs running Apple Silicon is too much of a big deal to share the stage with anything other than macOS Big Sur, which is needed to power the Macs.

You can learn all about macOS Big Sur by pre-ordering the e-book from Apple or Amazon for $3.99 each. There will be paperbacks available soon after macOS Big Sur is released and the e-books will be released the same day that macOS Big Sur is available.

Apple “Hi, Speed” Event Predictions

As I posted last week, Apple is holding another virtual event on Tuesday, October 13th at 10 a.m. Pacific Time. The iPhone announcements are the most anticipated each year. Even though Apple is attempting to get have a larger portion of its revenues from services, the lion’s share of revenue is still from hardware, specifically the iPhone. Here is what I think we will see at the October 13th, event. I am going to do something a bit different this time. Instead of giving my likelihoods throughout the post, I will just provide a recap at the end.

iPhones

I think there will be four iPhones, and iPhone 12 Mini, iPhone 12, iPhone 12 Pro, and iPhone 12 Pro Max. Here is what I think each will break down to.

iPhone 12 mini

This will be the rumored a 5.4-inch model but it will not be available for pre-order until later. It’ll come in the same sizes as the iPhone 11, meaning 64GB, 128GB, and 256GB variants. I think we will see a different color for these models as compared to last year. The big question for this is the pricing, and I am going to agree with the rumors of $699 as the starting price, with $749 for the 128GB, and $799 for the 256GB model.

iPhone 12

The iPhone 12 will likely replace the existing iPhone 11 and being in the same sizes and colors and the iPhone 12 Mini. I think the pre-orders will be on October 16th, and available the following week. I think the pricing may increase a bit to $749 instead of the current $699 for the iPhone 11. I am guessing the screen size on this model will be 6.1-inches, just like the current iPhone 11.

iPhone 12 Pro

I think the iPhone 12 Pro will be similar to the iPhone 11 Pro, in that it starts at $999, comes in four colors, with the Midnight Green model being replaced with a dark metallic blue similar to the other iPhone 11 colors. Just like the iPhone 12, I think this model will be available for pre-order on the 16th and available the following week. One change that I think will happen with this model is that the base storage will increase to 128GB, up from 64GB with the iPhone 11 Pro. I predict that the screen size will be 6.1 inches on this model. I think the iPhone 12 Pro will have LiDAR capabilities. It seems odd to have it only on the iPad Pro, but having it on the iPhone Pro lineup is likely.

iPhone 12 Pro Max

The iPhone 12 Pro Max will be a behemoth at a whopping 6.7-inch screen, which is slightly bigger than the 6.5-inch screen the iPhone 11 Pro Max. I think the storage sizes will be the same as the iPhone 12 Pro at 128GB, 256GB, and 512GB with the pricing being the same as the iPhone 11 Pro Max at $1099, $1249, and $1449 respectively. As with the other models, I think this will have 5G capabilities. I also think this will be later than the other models and not available for pre-order until November with a ship date of one week after pre-orders. Just like the iPhone 12 Pro, I think it will include a LiDAR sensor.

iPhone Probabilities

I am giving the probability of Apple announcing four new phone models at 100%. I give the probability of all models having 5G at 90%. I am giving screen size probabilities at 100%, if all four are announced. I am predicting that the Midnight Green on the iPhone Pro line will be replaced with a Blue, the same shade as the Blue Series 6 Apple Watch. I am giving the new color a 95% chance of happening.

HomePod mini

There have been rumors sailing around for a while indicating that Apple has been working on a new smaller HomePod. I think we will finally see this at the October event. I think this will be a somewhat competitive price for the HomePod. The current large HomePod costs $299. I think Apple is going to be aggressive with this and have this at $99. I think this is for a couple of reasons. First, $99 is a lot easier for many to justify. Secondly, the $99 price point will make it quite easy to add another HomePod mini to create a stereo pair.

I am guessing that this will be announced but will not be available for pre-order until November and it will be available in two colors, Black and White.

Other Announcements

I think there will be two other announcements as well.

The first of these is an order date and availability date for the 10.9-inch iPad Air. The iPad Air was announced at the September event with an “Available in October” date. It is now October. I would not be surprised if this was available for order on the 13th, with it starting to arrive on October 16th.

The second announcement will be a Big Sur release date. We know it is coming, but we are not sure when. It is possible that Apple will wait and have the release date be the same time as the Macs with Apple Silicon, but I think Apple needs to announce a date for Big Sur sooner rather than later.

Recap

Here is a recap of what I am predicting for the October 13th event.

  • iPad Air order date – 100%
  • iPad Air release date – 100%
  • iPhone 12 mini – 100%
  • iPhone 12 – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro Max – 100%
  • iPhone 12 mini screen at 5.4 inches – 100%
  • iPhone 12 screen at 6.1 inches – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro screen at 6.1 inches – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro Max screen at 6.7 inches – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro new blue color – 95%
  • iPhone 12 Pro Pro new blue color – 95%
  • All four models having 5G – 90%
  • HomePod mini – 90%
  • HomePod mini available in November – 90%
  • HomePod mini for $99 – 90%
  • Big Sur release date – 90%

The “Hi, Speed” announcement starts at 10a.m. on Tuesday, October 13th. Like usual, I will have a recap of what was announced and later in the week I will have a recap of how well I did with my predictions.

My Prediction Results for Apple’s “Time Flies” Event

As has become my custom, with each Apple event I predict what I think Apple will unveil. You can read the recap that I posted about what was announced, but let us look at how I did with my predictions. Here is what I predicted.

Predictions

  • New Apple Watch Bands – 100%
  • Services Bundle – 95%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 – 90%
  • No New iPhones announced – 80%
  • Apple Watch Series 5 staying around – 75%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 SE – 60%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 SE price of $179 – 50%
  • New iPad Air – 60%
  • New iPad Air has iPad Pro-inspired design – 60%
  • All Apple Services included in bundle – 25%

New Apple Watch Bands – 100%

I guessed that Apple would release new Apple Watch bands, and boy did they ever. They have a whole bunch of new colors for existing bands including five new Sport Band colors, seven new Sport Loop color combinations, three new Nike Sport Band color combinations, and three new Nike Sport Loop color combinations. There are a slew of new Hermes bands and even a couple of new stainless steel colors, Gold Milanese and Graphite Milanese bands.

Along with the new color combinations, there are three new Apple Watch Band types. These are the Leather Link, the Solo Loop, and the Braided Solo Loop. The Leather Link is a new look to the Leather band. It takes the existing Leather band and adds in links, so it provides some texture to the band. The Solo Loop is a one-piece watch band that is designed to fit snugly, yet is flexible enough to be removable. The Braided Solo Loop is the same design as the Solo Loop, but it is made with 100% recycled yarn and silicone threads to create a comfortable band.

The Solo Loops come in 9 different sizes, 1 to 9 for the 40mm, and 4 to 12 for the 44mm watch. These are not compatible with the Series 3 or earlier Apple Watches. These are only compatible with the Series 4 and newer.

Services Bundle – 95%

Apple did announce a services bundle called “Apple One“. Available later this fall, Apple One consists of three different tiers, “Individual”, “Family”, and “Premier”. All three tiers include Apple Music, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, and iCloud. The amount of iCloud storage varies. It is 50GB for the Individual plan, 200GB for the family plan, and 2TB for the Premier plan. The Premier plan also includes Apple News+ and a brand new service, Apple Fitness+.

The Apple One bundle does allow you to purchase additional storage for iCloud on top of the included storage. Furthermore, it will support those who have a different iTunes account versus an iCloud account.

Apple Watch Series 6 – 90%

Apple did announce a new Apple Watch Series 6, which as a 2.5x brighter screen and a new Blood Oxygen sensor and accompanying app. The Apple Watch Series 6 does also have two new aluminum color options, Blue and PRODUCT(RED). These are being delivered into people’s hands as of today.

No New iPhones announced – 80%

Apple did not announce any new iPhones at this event. Apple stated on their last earnings call that the iPhone would be a few weeks late, so it makes sense that there were no new iPhones announced at this event.

Apple Watch Series 5 staying around – 75%

I was wrong about this one, kinda, more on that in a minute. The Apple Watch Series 5 is no longer available for sale.

Apple Watch Series 6 SE – 60%

Apple did announce an Appel Watch SE. It is not a Series 6, but it does use the Series 5 internals. It does not have an always on screen, nor the blood oxygen sensor, but it does have a brighter screen and uses the same form factor as the Series 4 and newer, so it can support the new Apple Watch bands discussed above.

Apple Watch Series 6 SE price of $179 – 50%

Nope, the price of the Apple Watch SE starts at $279, not $179.

New iPad Air – 60%/New iPad Air has iPad Pro-inspired design – 60%

Apple announced a new iPad Air that does indeed have a designed inspired by the iPad Pro. It now has square sides, and the Touch ID sensor has been moved to the top button. This provides the ability to have smaller bezels, so the screen can now be larger at 10.9 inches instead of the previous 10.5-inch size. The new size also means that it can support the same Magic Keyboard as the 11-inch iPad Pros. With the redesign, it now supports the 2nd Generation Apple Pencil and charges in the same manner through magnets on the side of the iPad Air.

The iPad Air also comes with the A14 Bionic chip, so it has even faster performance. The A14 Bionic also includes a beefier neural engine for faster on-device machine learning and even better graphics.

The iPad Air comes in five colors, Silver, Space Gray, Rose Gold, Green, and Sky Blue, with the latter two being new. The new iPad Air is a bit more expensive than the last version. The new model starts at $599 for a 64GB Wifi-only model, and it will be available in October.

All Apple Services included in bundle – 25%

All of Apple’s services have been included in a bundle, although it is the most expensive, they are still in the bundle.

Recap

Overall, not too bad on my predictions. I only missed 2 out of 10, so 80% correct. I’ll take it. It will be interesting to see what the next event holds. Once that is announced I will do another prediction post, a recap of the event, and a recap of my predictions for that event. Before that series of posts though, I will have a review of the Apple Watch Series 6, which I just received, so look for that soon.