Apple “Hi, Speed” Event Predictions

As I posted last week, Apple is holding another virtual event on Tuesday, October 13th at 10 a.m. Pacific Time. The iPhone announcements are the most anticipated each year. Even though Apple is attempting to get have a larger portion of its revenues from services, the lion’s share of revenue is still from hardware, specifically the iPhone. Here is what I think we will see at the October 13th, event. I am going to do something a bit different this time. Instead of giving my likelihoods throughout the post, I will just provide a recap at the end.

iPhones

I think there will be four iPhones, and iPhone 12 Mini, iPhone 12, iPhone 12 Pro, and iPhone 12 Pro Max. Here is what I think each will break down to.

iPhone 12 mini

This will be the rumored a 5.4-inch model but it will not be available for pre-order until later. It’ll come in the same sizes as the iPhone 11, meaning 64GB, 128GB, and 256GB variants. I think we will see a different color for these models as compared to last year. The big question for this is the pricing, and I am going to agree with the rumors of $699 as the starting price, with $749 for the 128GB, and $799 for the 256GB model.

iPhone 12

The iPhone 12 will likely replace the existing iPhone 11 and being in the same sizes and colors and the iPhone 12 Mini. I think the pre-orders will be on October 16th, and available the following week. I think the pricing may increase a bit to $749 instead of the current $699 for the iPhone 11. I am guessing the screen size on this model will be 6.1-inches, just like the current iPhone 11.

iPhone 12 Pro

I think the iPhone 12 Pro will be similar to the iPhone 11 Pro, in that it starts at $999, comes in four colors, with the Midnight Green model being replaced with a dark metallic blue similar to the other iPhone 11 colors. Just like the iPhone 12, I think this model will be available for pre-order on the 16th and available the following week. One change that I think will happen with this model is that the base storage will increase to 128GB, up from 64GB with the iPhone 11 Pro. I predict that the screen size will be 6.1 inches on this model. I think the iPhone 12 Pro will have LiDAR capabilities. It seems odd to have it only on the iPad Pro, but having it on the iPhone Pro lineup is likely.

iPhone 12 Pro Max

The iPhone 12 Pro Max will be a behemoth at a whopping 6.7-inch screen, which is slightly bigger than the 6.5-inch screen the iPhone 11 Pro Max. I think the storage sizes will be the same as the iPhone 12 Pro at 128GB, 256GB, and 512GB with the pricing being the same as the iPhone 11 Pro Max at $1099, $1249, and $1449 respectively. As with the other models, I think this will have 5G capabilities. I also think this will be later than the other models and not available for pre-order until November with a ship date of one week after pre-orders. Just like the iPhone 12 Pro, I think it will include a LiDAR sensor.

iPhone Probabilities

I am giving the probability of Apple announcing four new phone models at 100%. I give the probability of all models having 5G at 90%. I am giving screen size probabilities at 100%, if all four are announced. I am predicting that the Midnight Green on the iPhone Pro line will be replaced with a Blue, the same shade as the Blue Series 6 Apple Watch. I am giving the new color a 95% chance of happening.

HomePod mini

There have been rumors sailing around for a while indicating that Apple has been working on a new smaller HomePod. I think we will finally see this at the October event. I think this will be a somewhat competitive price for the HomePod. The current large HomePod costs $299. I think Apple is going to be aggressive with this and have this at $99. I think this is for a couple of reasons. First, $99 is a lot easier for many to justify. Secondly, the $99 price point will make it quite easy to add another HomePod mini to create a stereo pair.

I am guessing that this will be announced but will not be available for pre-order until November and it will be available in two colors, Black and White.

Other Announcements

I think there will be two other announcements as well.

The first of these is an order date and availability date for the 10.9-inch iPad Air. The iPad Air was announced at the September event with an “Available in October” date. It is now October. I would not be surprised if this was available for order on the 13th, with it starting to arrive on October 16th.

The second announcement will be a Big Sur release date. We know it is coming, but we are not sure when. It is possible that Apple will wait and have the release date be the same time as the Macs with Apple Silicon, but I think Apple needs to announce a date for Big Sur sooner rather than later.

Recap

Here is a recap of what I am predicting for the October 13th event.

  • iPad Air order date – 100%
  • iPad Air release date – 100%
  • iPhone 12 mini – 100%
  • iPhone 12 – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro Max – 100%
  • iPhone 12 mini screen at 5.4 inches – 100%
  • iPhone 12 screen at 6.1 inches – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro screen at 6.1 inches – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro Max screen at 6.7 inches – 100%
  • iPhone 12 Pro new blue color – 95%
  • iPhone 12 Pro Pro new blue color – 95%
  • All four models having 5G – 90%
  • HomePod mini – 90%
  • HomePod mini available in November – 90%
  • HomePod mini for $99 – 90%
  • Big Sur release date – 90%

The “Hi, Speed” announcement starts at 10a.m. on Tuesday, October 13th. Like usual, I will have a recap of what was announced and later in the week I will have a recap of how well I did with my predictions.

Apple Announces “Hi, Speed” Event

Today Apple sent out invites for their next event titled “Hi, Speed”. The event is slated for October 13th, at 10 a.m. Pacific Time. It is highly anticipated that Apple will announce the new group of iPhones. Apple indicated at their July shareholder call that the iPhones would be a few weeks late, and this would be the time for the iPhones to be released.

Just like with the September event, if you visit the Apple Events page using your iPhone you will see an Augmented Reality animation with the date of the event.

As has been the case with the previous events, I will be making a predictions post for this event and a recap of the event after the fact.

My Prediction Results for Apple’s “Time Flies” Event

As has become my custom, with each Apple event I predict what I think Apple will unveil. You can read the recap that I posted about what was announced, but let us look at how I did with my predictions. Here is what I predicted.

Predictions

  • New Apple Watch Bands – 100%
  • Services Bundle – 95%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 – 90%
  • No New iPhones announced – 80%
  • Apple Watch Series 5 staying around – 75%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 SE – 60%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 SE price of $179 – 50%
  • New iPad Air – 60%
  • New iPad Air has iPad Pro-inspired design – 60%
  • All Apple Services included in bundle – 25%

New Apple Watch Bands – 100%

I guessed that Apple would release new Apple Watch bands, and boy did they ever. They have a whole bunch of new colors for existing bands including five new Sport Band colors, seven new Sport Loop color combinations, three new Nike Sport Band color combinations, and three new Nike Sport Loop color combinations. There are a slew of new Hermes bands and even a couple of new stainless steel colors, Gold Milanese and Graphite Milanese bands.

Along with the new color combinations, there are three new Apple Watch Band types. These are the Leather Link, the Solo Loop, and the Braided Solo Loop. The Leather Link is a new look to the Leather band. It takes the existing Leather band and adds in links, so it provides some texture to the band. The Solo Loop is a one-piece watch band that is designed to fit snugly, yet is flexible enough to be removable. The Braided Solo Loop is the same design as the Solo Loop, but it is made with 100% recycled yarn and silicone threads to create a comfortable band.

The Solo Loops come in 9 different sizes, 1 to 9 for the 40mm, and 4 to 12 for the 44mm watch. These are not compatible with the Series 3 or earlier Apple Watches. These are only compatible with the Series 4 and newer.

Services Bundle – 95%

Apple did announce a services bundle called “Apple One“. Available later this fall, Apple One consists of three different tiers, “Individual”, “Family”, and “Premier”. All three tiers include Apple Music, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, and iCloud. The amount of iCloud storage varies. It is 50GB for the Individual plan, 200GB for the family plan, and 2TB for the Premier plan. The Premier plan also includes Apple News+ and a brand new service, Apple Fitness+.

The Apple One bundle does allow you to purchase additional storage for iCloud on top of the included storage. Furthermore, it will support those who have a different iTunes account versus an iCloud account.

Apple Watch Series 6 – 90%

Apple did announce a new Apple Watch Series 6, which as a 2.5x brighter screen and a new Blood Oxygen sensor and accompanying app. The Apple Watch Series 6 does also have two new aluminum color options, Blue and PRODUCT(RED). These are being delivered into people’s hands as of today.

No New iPhones announced – 80%

Apple did not announce any new iPhones at this event. Apple stated on their last earnings call that the iPhone would be a few weeks late, so it makes sense that there were no new iPhones announced at this event.

Apple Watch Series 5 staying around – 75%

I was wrong about this one, kinda, more on that in a minute. The Apple Watch Series 5 is no longer available for sale.

Apple Watch Series 6 SE – 60%

Apple did announce an Appel Watch SE. It is not a Series 6, but it does use the Series 5 internals. It does not have an always on screen, nor the blood oxygen sensor, but it does have a brighter screen and uses the same form factor as the Series 4 and newer, so it can support the new Apple Watch bands discussed above.

Apple Watch Series 6 SE price of $179 – 50%

Nope, the price of the Apple Watch SE starts at $279, not $179.

New iPad Air – 60%/New iPad Air has iPad Pro-inspired design – 60%

Apple announced a new iPad Air that does indeed have a designed inspired by the iPad Pro. It now has square sides, and the Touch ID sensor has been moved to the top button. This provides the ability to have smaller bezels, so the screen can now be larger at 10.9 inches instead of the previous 10.5-inch size. The new size also means that it can support the same Magic Keyboard as the 11-inch iPad Pros. With the redesign, it now supports the 2nd Generation Apple Pencil and charges in the same manner through magnets on the side of the iPad Air.

The iPad Air also comes with the A14 Bionic chip, so it has even faster performance. The A14 Bionic also includes a beefier neural engine for faster on-device machine learning and even better graphics.

The iPad Air comes in five colors, Silver, Space Gray, Rose Gold, Green, and Sky Blue, with the latter two being new. The new iPad Air is a bit more expensive than the last version. The new model starts at $599 for a 64GB Wifi-only model, and it will be available in October.

All Apple Services included in bundle – 25%

All of Apple’s services have been included in a bundle, although it is the most expensive, they are still in the bundle.

Recap

Overall, not too bad on my predictions. I only missed 2 out of 10, so 80% correct. I’ll take it. It will be interesting to see what the next event holds. Once that is announced I will do another prediction post, a recap of the event, and a recap of my predictions for that event. Before that series of posts though, I will have a review of the Apple Watch Series 6, which I just received, so look for that soon.

Predictions for Apple’s “Time Flies” Event

Apple is having their “Time Flies” event tomorrow. While nothing is certain, there are some possibilities for what we will see. Here is what I think we will see.

Apple Watch Series 6

With the event being namee “Time Flies”, it suggests that we will see something related to “time”, and there is a chronometer that Apple sells called the Apple Watch. Since 2015, Apple has released a new Apple Watch. This year is likely no different.

What I think will be different is that there will be two new Apple Watch models introduced. The Apple Watch Series 6 and what I’ll dub the next as the Apple Watch SE. The Apple Watch Series 6 will likely have better battery life, possibly a new sensor. My guess is that the Apple Watch Series 6 SE will have the same form-factor, same processor, but may only have the features that were in the Apple Watch Series 4. The key with the Apple Watch Series 6 SE is that it will be less expensive. I predict that the “SE Model” will have a starting price of $179. Furthermore, it will replace the Apple Watch Series 3. Lastly, I think the Series 5 will stick around at a starting price of $299.

The last Apple Watch related item is new bands. Apple considers the Watch to be a fashion item. The way to customize the Apple Watch that is most noticeable at first glance is through choosing you Apple Watch band. I predict that Apple will release at least 3 new Apple Watch Bands.

I give the likelihood of a new Apple Watch at 90%, and an Apple Watch SE model at 60%. I am guessing the price point of the Apple Watch SE being $179 at 50%, and keeping the Apple Watch Series 5 at 75%. I give the likelihood of new Apple Watch bands at 100%.

iPads

Earlier this year Apple released a new set of iPad Pro models. Therefore, I do not think we will see new iPad Pro models, although it is always a possibility. Instead, I think we will see new iPad Air. I think it will have an updated processor, an iPad Pro-inspired design with flat edges and a slimmer bezels.

I give the probability of a new iPad Air at 60% and having an iPad Pro-inspired design at 60% as well.

iPhone

Typically in September Apple unveils their new iPhones. I do not think that this will happen at this event. This is due to Apple’s Chief Financial Officer, Luca Maestri, indicating that this year’s Apple’s iPhones will be a released a few weeks later than normal. This is, as you might expect, due to COVID-19.

I am giving the possibility of not hearing about iPhones at 80%. It is always possible that Apple will announce new iPhones, and if that does happen they will not be available for a month or so.

Services Bundle

Many have postulated that Apple may eventually bundle of their services. It appears as though this might actually be coming to fruition. With the 3.4.0 beta of Apple Music on Android, there are strings that indicate that a services bundle might be coming. This bundle will include Apple Music as well as other services.

I am guessing that there is a 95% chance that Apple announces this bundle, even if it is not available right away. I am guessing that the bundle will include Apple TV+, Apple Music, Apple Arcade, and iCloud Storage. I give this a 25% chance of being the case.

Predictions Recap

  • New Apple Watch Bands – 100%
  • Services Bundle – 95%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 – 90%
  • No New iPhones announced – 80%
  • Apple Watch Series 5 staying around – 75%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 SE – 60%
  • Apple Watch Series 6 SE price of $179 – 50%
  • New iPad Air – 60%
  • New iPad Air has iPad Pro-inspired design – 60%
  • All Apple Services included in bundle – 25%

Once the event is over I will post about the event and later in the week a recap of how well my predictions went.

Apple Invites Press to Virtual Event on September 15th, 2020

Today Apple sent out invites to the press to encourage them to watch a Special Event from Apple Park. The event will start at 10 a.m. Pacific time. There is no indication of what will be announced. It is rumored that it will be iPhones, which is possible. However, at Apple’s last earnings call at the end of July, they indicated that this year’s phones were “a few weeks behind schedule”, due to COVID-19.

If you visit the Apple Events page with an iPhone, iPad, or iPod touch that is capable of performing Augmented Reality, and tap on the image there, you will be able to see the image within Augmented Reality. When you do this, you will see the logo transform from its current shape to the date and back again. Below are the start and end images.

Source: Apple.com