Apple Fall 2017 Event Prediction Results
Apple's Fall 2017 event was almost a week ago, so I thought it was time to go ahead and look at how well my predictions did. Here is what I predicted plus the results. Overall I got 12 out of 22, so 54.5% correct. I guess that's not too bad. If you add this and my WWDC predictions, I am at 51.35% for the year, not too bad. I think I was not too far off, particularly since these predictions were made before the leak of the Gold Master of iOS 11, which was the weekend before the announcement. Here are the predictions and the results.
| Item | Chance | Result |
|---|---|---|
| iPhone 7s | 95% | Wrong - iPhone 8 not 7s. |
| iPhone 7s Plus | 95% | Wrong - iPhone 8 Plus not 7s Plus |
| iPhone 7s/Plus Same Price | 95% | Wrong - Prices went up |
| iPhone Pro | 90% | Wrong - Called the iPhone X, not Pro. |
| iPhone Pro Automatic Portrait Mode | 25% | Wrong - No such feature |
| iPHone Pro object detection | 75% | Partially Correct - Can detect faces only |
| iPhone Pro No Touch ID | 90% | Correct - Touch ID is gone |
| iPhone Pro Biometric ID | 90% | Correct - Face ID is used to unlock the phone |
| iPhone Pro 4K 60fps | 50% | Correct - Also on the iPhone 8/8 Plus |
| iPhone Pro wireless charging | 50% | Correct - Also on the iPhone 8/8 Plus |
| iPhone Pro Pricing | 60% | Partially Correct- only two models, $999 for 64GB and $1149 for 256GB |
| New Apple Watch | 90% | Correct |
| LTE Version of Apple Watch | 90% | Correct |
| Apple Watch Pricing | 80% | Wrong - pricing was only $70 more for LTE versions |
| New Apple Watch Bands | 95% | Correct - even mentioned on stage |
| New Apple TV | 90% | Correct |
| Amazon Prime Video app release date | 100% | Wrong - No release date given, just "Fall" |
| New Apple TV Pricing | 75% | Partially Correct - two models on Apple TV 4K, but 4th Generation is still around |
| HomePod pre-order announced | 50% | Wrong - no pre-order information |
| iOS 11 Release date, September 19th | 100% | Correct - it arrives tomorrow, September 19th |
| macOS High Sierra, September 19th | 80% | Wrong - Release date is September 25th not September 19th. |
| New Mac Mini | 5% | Wrong, since there is no Mac mini update |
Posted on September 18, 2017 at 5:35 PM
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